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NEWS

9.4.2008 8:27 AM

Hurricane Watch for U.S. as Hanna Nears

Hurricane Ike Reaches Major Hurricane Status, and Josephine Follows Behind

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Hurricane Ike
Hurricane Ike formed September 1 and reached major Category 4 hurricane status Sept. 3.
Photo: NOAA

By Dan Shapley

Tropical Storm Hanna could regain hurricane strength and make landfall on the East Coast of the United States early Saturday morning, most likely someplace near the border of North and South Carolina, and portions of both states are under a hurricane watch. Tropical Storm watches extend as far south as Georgia.

Coastal surge flooding and dangerous rip tides could accompany the storm, which was already blamed for at least 61 deaths in Haiti, which has been repeatedly battered by tropical storms this year.

Behind Hanna, Hurricane Ike reached major status, with Category 4 winds. With sustained winds of 145 mph, Ike is twice as powerful as Hanna. The National Hurricane Center called Hurricane Ike "extremely dangerous" but noted that "it is too early to determine what land areas might eventually be affected by Ike," which continues to swirl in the Central Atlantic, more than 500 miles northeast of the Leeward Islands.

Behind Hurricane Ike is Tropical Storm Josephine, which gained some strength but remains closer to Africa's nearest islands than America's, and not closer than 450 miles to any land.

The Atlantic tropical storm and hurricane season is only now approaching its traditional peak. Already there have been 10 named storms, including five hurricanes (Bertha, Dolly, Gustav, Hanna and Ike), three of them major (Bertha, Gustav and Ike).

The latest government forecast called for 14 to 18 named storms, seven to 10 of which would become hurricanes, three to six of them major.

The suddenly active, and dangerous, spate of storms has re-ignited the debate over global warming's link to hurricanes in the Atlantic. There has been conflicting science on the issue, with some studies suggesting hurricanes will become stronger or more frequent, or that they will produce more rain, because of warmer ocean temperatures. Other studies suggest they will become less frequent because of competing influences.

This week, a Florida State team of scientists added a study in support of the global warming-stronger hurricane link, and the Associated Press quoted some experts stating that the strength of Hurricane Gustav and other hurricanes could be seen in some ways as a result of global warming.

While experts disagree over the global warming link, they are unanimous in their warning about coastal development in hurricane-prone areas. As sprawl has reached once-remote coastlines, the number of people at risk from hurricanes has grown greatly.

Here's a look at the season in the Atlantic so far:



2008 Tropical Storms and Hurricanes - Atlantic

    1. Tropical Storm Arthur formed quickly on May 31 off Belize, lost tropical storm strength in fewer than 24 hours, and brought punishing rains of 10-15 inches to parts of the Yucatán Peninsula, including Mexico and Guatemala.

    tropical storm arthur
    NOAA



    2. Hurricane Bertha formed as a tropical storm July 3 in the far eastern Atlantic, then debuted as the Atlantic's first hurricane July 7 and quickly grew to major hurricane status. By the time it affected land, July 14 in Bermuda, it was a strong tropical storm, causing rough surf and 3-5 inches of rain. It broke the record for longest-lived July storm and on July 18 reformed into a hurricane.

    hurricane bertha
    NASA



    3. Tropical Storm Cristobal formed on July 19 off the coast of the Carolinas. The first named storm to threaten the U.S. coast, Cristobal threatened 3-5 inches of rain and strong storm surges across South and North Carolina.

    tropical storm cristobal
    NOAA



    4. Hurricane Dolly reached Category 2 strength in the Gulf of Mexico before making landfall near the Texas-Mexico border July 23, 2008. Heavy rains and wind led to at least one death, flooding and damage in Texas and in neighboring states that may exceed $1 billion.

    hurricane dolly
    NASA



    5. Tropical Storm Edouard formed August 3 in the Gulf of Mexico and though forecasters predicted strengthening and it passed by critical oil infrastructure, it was largely welcomed for relieving drought conditions in some parts of Texas and Louisiana.

    tropical storm edouard
    NOAA



    6. Tropical Storm Fay formed August 15 off the coast of the Dominican Republic and killed 35 people there and in Haiti before making a record five landfalls in Florida, where it killed 11 before moving on as a tropical depression, killing at least one in Georgia.

    tropical storm fay
    NOAA



    7. Hurricane Gustav formed August 25 off the coast of Haiti and reached hurricane strength Aug. 26 before making landfall there. It has been blamed for dozens of deaths in the Caribbean, making it the deadliest tropical storm of 2008 in the Atlantic to date, even before it reached the Gulf Coast, where 2 million evacuated in preparation.

    hurricane gustav
    NOAA



    8. Hurricane Hanna formed August 28 in the Central Atlantic and briefly attained hurricane strength Sept. 1. The storm was blamed for dozens of deaths in Haiti and Puerto Rico, and is expected to make landfall, possibly as a resurgent hurricane, on the U.S. East Coast.

    tropical storm Hanna
    NOAA



    9. Hurricane Ike formed September 1 and reached major Category 4 hurricane status Sept. 3.

    hurricane Ike
    NOAA



    10. Tropical Storm Josephine formed Sept. 2, with both Hanna and Ike also active in the Atlantic.

    tropical storm josephine
    NOAA



    Remaining 2008 Tropical Storm and Hurricane Names - Atlantic

    Kyle - Laura - Marco - Nana - Omar - Paloma - Rene - Sally - Teddy - Vicky - Wilfred



    2008 Tropical Storms and Hurricanes - Pacific

    1. Tropical Storm Alma brought heavy rains and winds to the Central American nations of Nicaragua, Honduras, El Salvador and Guatemala after forming May 29.

    tropical storm alma

    2. Hurricane Boris formed near Baja California and headed west into the Pacific, before reaching hurricane strength July 1.

    hurricane boris

    3. Tropical Storm Cristina formed near Hawaii June 29 but dissipated before making landfall.

    tropical storm cristina

    4. Tropical Storm Douglas formed July 2 and threatened to dump heavy rains on portions of southwest Mexico.

    tropical storm douglas

    5. Hurricane Elida formed July 12 as a tropical storm and became the season's second Pacific hurricane July 14 when it became a weak Category 1 storm tracking westward from Mexico.

    hurricane elida

    6. Hurricane Fausto formed as a tropical storm July 16 off the coast of Mexico. Like other 2008 Pacific hurricanes, the third of the year did not affect land.

    tropical storm fausto

    7. Hurricane Genevieve formed in the Pacific Ocean, more than 580 miles off the coast of Mexico, on July 25, 2008. The fourth hurricane in the eastern Pacific, it did not affect land.

    hurricane genevieve

    8. Hurricane Hernan formed August 6 hundreds of miles from Baja California and reached hurricane strength Aug. 8. On Aug. 9, it reached Category 3 status, the first major hurricane of 2008 in the Pacific. It lost hurricane Strength Aug. 11 and dissipated Aug. 12.

    hurricane hernan

    9. Tropical Storm Iselle formed August 13.

    tropical storm iselle

    10. Tropical Storm Julio formed August 23 and made landfall in Baja California Aug. 24.

    tropical storm julio

    11. Tropical Storm Karina formed Sept. 2 in the eastern Pacific, and dissipated within about 12 hours.

    tropical storm karina

    Remaining 2008 Tropical Storm and Hurricane Names - Pacific

    Lowell - Marie - Norbert - Odile - Polo - Rachel - Simon - Trudy - Vance - Winnie - Xavier - Yolanda - Zeke




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