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NEWS

3.11.2008 8:16 AM

Europe Faces Flood, but Not That Kind

Global Warming to Spur Immigration, but It Didn't Cause Deluge

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By Dan Shapley

The British press today is awash in global warming flooding news.

There's a new European Union study that predicts Europe will be flooded with new immigrants.

"The EU analysis of the security threats posed by global warming predicts social unrest as an influx of immigration sweeps 'destination' Europe," the Daily Telegraph reports, "following failing harvests and environmental conflicts in the world's poorest countries."

Incidentally, any temperate nation, or one with a more stable coastline than its neighbor, should expect this kind of migration, as numerous studies have predicted. The United States is not immune.

A separate and unrelated analysis, published in the International Journal of Climatology, found that the unprecedented flooding that the U.K. experienced last summer was extraordinary, but not consistent with climate change models that predict a hotter and drier summer season.

Global warming will affect different regions differently. Some are expected to see more rain, some less. What rain does fall, however, is expected to come in more intense bursts, which could easily lead to flooding.


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